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    GDP

    This Month

    New Zealand shakes off recession but no relief yet

    Gross domestic product gained 0.2 per cent from the previous quarter, when it declined 0.1 per cent, Statistics New Zealand said on Thursday.

    • Updated
    • Tracy Withers
    Rishi Sunak’s manifesto this week boasted that “growth has returned” following last year’s slump.

    Britain’s economy stalls in blow for Sunak

    Gross domestic product was flat in April compared with the previous month, a slowdown from 0.4 per cent growth in March.

    • Tom Rees and Irina Anghel
    House and rental prices would fall by just 4 to 6 per cent over a decade under Peter Dutton’s migration plan.

    House prices would barely fall under Dutton’s migration plan: Grattan

    Peter Dutton’s plan to slash migration would have long-term economic consequences, but little bearing on house prices and rentals, says the Grattan Institute.

    • Julie Hare
    The Chanticleer podcast features James Thomson and Anthony Macdonald.

    Why everyone is talking about ESG | RBA’s $5b headache | Private credit boom

    This week on the Chanticleer podcast, James & Anthony look at business’ ESG focus, explain how apparently sluggish economic growth doesn’t mean rate cuts are coming, and deep dive into the hottest asset class in the world.

    The buyers jumping into Australia’s housing market

    Even with 16 straight months of gains and repeated records for house prices, buyers appear willing to take their chances. The question is why.

    • Nila Sweeney
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    National Australia Bank  economist Taylor Nugent says  consumer weakness has been overstated.

    Economy still too strong despite recession talk

    Economists say consumer resilience shows there is still excess demand in the economy after a post-COVID spending boom.

    • Michael Read
    Barrenjoey’s interest rate strategist Andrew Lilley says the March GDP data will make the RBA “less confused”.

    Investors’ big worry from GDP data isn’t what you think

    The March quarter GDP numbers suggest a whiff of stagflation in the air. But the real story is of surprising economic resilience.

    • James Thomson

    Surprise overseas travel boom could keep rates on hold

    Households are saving much less than previously thought and spending far more on travel, prompting economists to suggest consumers will splurge more of the stage three tax cuts than expected.

    • Updated
    • Michael Read
     Brief 5 June

    Economy grows by 0.1pc | RBA to ignore energy rebate | Medibank faces $21.5 trillion fine

    Read everything that’s happened in the news so far today.

    Productivity Commission chair Danielle Wood at Senate estimates on Tuesday.

    Future Made in Australia is ‘not tax reform’, says PC boss

    Productivity Commission boss Danielle Wood also said cutting company tax would make the economy more competitive, putting her at odds with Treasurer Jim Chalmers.

    • Michael Read
    More and more Australians are prisoners to their mortgage.

    Meet Australia’s new mortgage prisoners

    New data from Morgan Stanley suggests high house prices, difficulty getting loans and depleted savings mean more households are stuck in their current home. 

    • James Thomson
    Over the past year, profits fell across the manufacturing, wholesale and transport sectors, and barely grew in the consumer-facing retail and hospitality industries.

    Profit growth drops amid household spending crunch

    Over the past year, profits fell across the manufacturing, wholesale and transport sectors, and barely grew in the consumer-facing retail and hospitality industries.

    • Michael Read

    May

    Australians are facing an economic environment of rapidly rising interest rates.

    GDP growth tipped to slump to 1.1pc, but don’t expect a rate cut

    Economists expect GDP figures next week could show annual growth slumped to just 1.1 per cent in March, after consumer spending and home building went backwards.

    • Michael Read

    China’s industrial profits return to growth

    A global cyclical boom in technology products like chips as well as a push by the government to get firms to replace their old equipment supported the April upturn.

    • Gao Yuan
    Germany’s economy is recovering, but its industrial base is yet to start firing on all cylinders.

    European economy rebounds, but June rate cut still on the cards

    The bounceback has not triggered inflation, creating space for the European Central Bank to start easing the squeeze before the US Federal Reserve.

    • Hans van Leeuwen
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    April

    The US economy slowed in the first quarter.

    US data shows economy in unexpected slowdown

    Growth in the world’s biggest economy was slower than expected, while an acceleration in inflation reinforced expectations rates won’t be cut before September.

    • Lucia Mutikani
    Jerome Powell. Price rises and cost increases across the board have left markets concerned that the Federal Reserve and other central banks will rethink plans to cut interest rates this year.

    Why inflation is proving sticky on both sides of the Atlantic

    What matters is not what is happening right now, but what will happen in the months or even years ahead, as past policy works through the system.

    • Updated
    • Martin Wolf
    Wall Street finished flat to open its week.

    America’s ‘supercharged’ economy can’t last

    One overlooked reason for US resilience is a tonne of stimulus still coursing through the economy.

    • Ruchir Sharma
    A worker assembles an SUV at a car plant of Li Auto, a major Chinese EV maker, in Changzhou.

    China’s factory expansion is new sign of recovery

    While the industrial sector expanded for the first time in six months, China is still grappling with a deep property slowdown and weak investor confidence.

    • Fran Wang

    March

    The RBA is betting productivity will start to lift and help manage domestic cost pressures.

    Small productivity rebound is nothing to celebrate

    The productivity slump may have bottomed out, but it has happened because workers’ hours are being cut, not because businesses are investing, a leading economist warns.

    • Ronald Mizen